A primer on model selection using the Akaike Information Criterion
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
An improved Akaike information criterion for state-space model selection
Following the work of Hurvich, Shumway, and Tsai (1990), we propose an “improved” variant of the Akaike information criterion, AICi, for state-space model selection. The variant is based on Akaike’s (1973) objective of estimating the Kullback-Leibler information (Kullback 1968) between the densities corresponding to the fitted model and the generating or true model. The development of AICi proc...
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Using an innovations state space approach, it has been found that the Akaike information criterion (AIC) works slightly better, on average, than prediction validation on withheld data, for choosing between the various common methods of exponential smoothing for forecasting. There is, however, a puzzle. Should the count of the seed states be incorporated into the penalty term in the AIC formula?...
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Two bootstrap-corrected variants of the Akaike information criterion are proposed for the purpose of small-sample mixed model selection. These two variants are asymptotically equivalent, and provide asymptotically unbiased estimators of the expected Kullback-Leibler discrepancy between the true model and a fitted candidate model. The performance of the criteria is investigated in a simulation s...
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Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/about/terms.html. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your perso...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Infectious Disease Modelling
سال: 2020
ISSN: 2468-0427
DOI: 10.1016/j.idm.2019.12.010